Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.991519 3.325823 3.687435 4.108516 4.586448 5.113286 5.739682
2025-03-16 2.460552 2.900473 3.409793 4.046289 4.824912 5.752087 6.948221
2025-03-23 2.218274 2.733954 3.362937 4.193564 5.272009 6.639056 8.525838
2025-03-30 1.981029 2.528031 3.223158 4.182461 5.489473 7.233592 9.780602
2025-04-06 1.788946 2.350241 3.088538 4.146254 5.648308 7.744374 10.961889
2025-04-13 1.572739 2.115087 2.848610 3.932065 5.524114 7.830103 11.522012
2025-04-20 1.463068 2.013039 2.777470 3.941185 5.710429 8.371104 12.817617
2025-04-27 1.390243 1.954571 2.759554 4.020925 6.002752 9.094194 14.483912
2025-05-04 1.325417 1.900892 2.741717 4.095253 6.288718 9.831278 16.263707
2025-05-11 1.260163 1.840452 2.707166 4.137532 6.523186 10.503848 18.015910
2025-05-18 1.199010 1.780925 2.668053 4.166662 6.734999 11.155613 19.813190
2025-05-25 1.111836 1.674596 2.547196 4.050183 6.685379 11.341563 20.753460
2025-06-01 1.044953 1.597211 2.469072 4.002234 6.756876 11.764013 22.240479
2025-06-08 0.983587 1.524613 2.393520 3.952159 6.819423 12.176803 23.771781
2025-06-15 0.964596 1.519544 2.428693 4.097713 7.254158 13.346967 27.077071
2025-06-22 0.919099 1.467142 2.379732 4.087378 7.391929 13.946756 29.231044
2025-06-29 0.873239 1.411080 2.320312 4.052223 7.476659 14.446093 31.233994
2025-07-06 0.803098 1.309258 2.174350 3.843659 7.196673 14.150920 31.310560
2025-07-13 0.772307 1.274001 2.144105 3.852545 7.357831 14.816767 33.838119
2025-07-20 0.753857 1.259224 2.149453 3.930205 7.668231 15.846297 37.465649
2025-07-27 0.735690 1.243750 2.152256 4.002587 7.974037 16.902679 41.362872
2025-08-03 0.714344 1.221191 2.140242 4.043756 8.215487 17.838743 45.113088
2025-08-10 0.692633 1.196669 2.122827 4.072121 8.430732 18.738425 48.938156